US President Joe Biden. Photo: Supplied
By Jerry Grey
US President Joe Biden's announcement on July 21 that he's pulling out of the 2024 re-election race has sent shockwaves through the political landscape.
This decision not only throws a massive curveball into the upcoming presidential election but has sparked widespread debate about Biden's health, internal Democratic conflicts, and the future leadership of the country. But what's really behind all this? Let's break it down.
1. Health concerns: Biden's Achilles' heel
Biden's health has been a hot topic for a while now. Since earlier this year, there's been constant speculation about his well-being. His shaky performance in the first televised debate on June 27, with frequent slip-ups and even mistaking Ukrainian President Zelensky for Putin and Vice President Harris for Trump, only fuelled doubts about his ability to handle the presidency.
Reports from sources like Voice of America indicate that Biden, who's 81 and recently battled Covid-19, saw his health as a major factor in his decision to step back. Campaign advisors told CNN that Biden consulted family and top advisors during his recovery and made the final call to drop out within 48 hours before July 21st. They believed he'd "drag down" the Democratic chances and become a hindrance in beating Trump. So, health issues clearly played a pivotal role, but could there be more to the story?
Recent rumours on some US media and social platforms even suggest Biden's health may be deteriorating rapidly post-announcement, with claims of him being in hospice care and transferring powers to key officials. Right-wing activist Laura Rumor's post on platform X on July 22nd claimed, "Joe Biden is now in the final stages of illness," citing sources from Washington medical circles.
2. Internal party pressure and calls to withdraw: Democratic Palace intrigues
But it's not just health. Biden's withdrawal is also a result of mounting pressure and calls within the Democratic Party to step aside. Over recent years, there's been clear dissent within the party about Biden's leadership. Despite efforts from his team to highlight his "experience," many Democrats feel sticking with him risks missing out on a better shot at winning. Key donors have even paused their support, adding to the pressure for him to bow out.
After Biden's announcement, the Democratic online fundraising platform ActBlue raised a whopping $27.5 million in just five hours, showing strong initial support.
But does this mean the party unanimously backs Harris as his replacement? Far from it. Reports from close associates suggest Biden, a seasoned political player, sees recent calls for his withdrawal as part of a carefully orchestrated move. He's singled out House Speaker Pelosi as a major instigator but is also irked by his former close ally, ex-President Obama, whom he suspects of pulling strings behind the scenes. This palace intrigue is causing significant rifts within the Democratic ranks.
3. Harris's readiness: Democratic undercurrents
Biden's endorsement of Vice President Harris to take over as the Democratic nominee seems straightforward, but her path isn't clear-cut. The Washington Post notes her vice presidency hasn't fully showcased her leadership potential, nor has her public image or popularity surged ahead of other potential Democratic contenders.
Some prominent figures within the party and donors are wary of simply handing her the reins, arguing for an open competition to find the strongest candidate, possibly from a swing state. Netflix co-founder Reed Hastings publicly disagreed with Biden's "anointment" of Harris, urging for a candidate with a better chance of winning.
These internal divisions could lead to burnout and voter splintering, impacting the Democratic campaign strategy and unity, according to Reuters analysis. If Harris doesn't garner strong internal support, the Democratic campaign could descend into chaos.
4. International reactions: barometer of global relations
Since Biden's withdrawal announcement, global leaders have been reacting. Australian PM Anthony Albanese praised Biden's leadership and alliance, emphasising unprecedented strength between their nations. UK PM Keir Starmer respected Biden's decision and looked forward to ongoing collaboration in his remaining term. Canadian PM Justin Trudeau described Biden as a partner and true friend to Canada. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz commended Biden for his immense contributions to his country, Europe, and the world.
However, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov cautioned patience and careful observation of developments. Clearly, Biden's exit doesn't just affect domestic politics but casts a shadow over global dynamics. The Guardian notes it could question America's leadership in international affairs, adding a significant variable to an already complex global situation.
5. Behind-the-scenes manipulation and conspiracies: Who's pulling the strings?
Finally, is Biden's exit solely about health and party pressure, or is there more to it? Some speculate high-level figures or interest groups are manipulating behind the scenes, suggesting a carefully planned political deal and exchange of interests.
Discussions about Biden family interests have also surfaced, with suspicions that his withdrawal might protect these from further scrutiny and exposure. Fox News reported Trump immediately criticising the White House doctor and US media for allegedly colluding to hide Biden's physical and mental state, deepening public scepticism about the reasons behind his exit.
Biden's withdrawal has undoubtedly rocked US politics. From health concerns to internal party conflicts, from public support to international reactions, the reasons behind Biden's exit are intricate. This event isn't just about personal decisions or party choices but likely involves deeper political manoeuvres and interest exchanges. In the days ahead, debates and controversies surrounding Biden's withdrawal will continue to brew, with the Democratic Party's smooth transition and ultimate goal of defeating Trump taking centre stage.
* The opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Independent Media